A Mathematical Logistic Model Describes Both Global CO2 Emissions and its Accumulation in the Atmosphere

  • Salvatore Mazzullo Senior Scientist /Industrial and Applied Mathematics, ESPERA: Ethics and Science for the Environment, Via Raffaello Sanzio nr. 10, 45100 ROVIGO, Italy
Keywords: global CO2 emissions, global CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere, modeling, logistic equations, parameter identification, photosynthesis


A single kinetic model, of a logistic nature, is able to describe two different phenomena: the global emission of CO2 due to the combustion of fossil fuels and the observed accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Unexpectedly, the analysis of the experimental data clearly shows that the two rates of emission and accumulation are almost exactly in phase and differ by a constant factor. The fraction of CO2 that accumulates in the atmosphere is constantly equal to 65% of the emissions. The same percentage also applies to the rate of change of the two phenomena, i.e., the accelerations.


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How to Cite
Mazzullo, S. (2024). A Mathematical Logistic Model Describes Both Global CO2 Emissions and its Accumulation in the Atmosphere. Earthline Journal of Mathematical Sciences, 14(4), 617-630. https://doi.org/10.34198/ejms.14424.617630