Comparison of Stationarity on Ljung Box Test Statistics for Forecasting

  • Jayeola Dare Department of Mathematical Sciences, Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba Akoko, Ondo State, Nigeria
  • Aye O. Patrick Department of Mathematical Sciences, Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba Akoko, Ondo State, Nigeria
  • David O. Oyewola Department of Mathematics & Computer Science, Federal University, Kashere P.M.B 0182, Gombe, Nigeria
Keywords: ARCH, asset, forecast, stationary

Abstract

The movements in Asset prices are very complex, therefore seem to be unpredictable. However, one of the main challenges of the econometric models is to get the best data for forecasting in order to present accurate results. This paper investigates the performance of stationary and non-stationary data on Ljung Box test statistics, to check the fitness of the data for forecasting. In the paper three assets (Groundnut, sorghum and soya bean) are used, tests are conducted for Ljung box statistics; Correlogram, Histogram Normality and Heteroscedasticity test. It is observed that stationary data are better for forecasting than non-stationary data in this research.

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Published
2022-02-16
How to Cite
Dare, J., Patrick, A. O., & Oyewola, D. O. (2022). Comparison of Stationarity on Ljung Box Test Statistics for Forecasting. Earthline Journal of Mathematical Sciences, 8(2), 325-336. https://doi.org/10.34198/ejms.8222.325336
Section
Articles

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